Dear Reader,
Martin Weiss here. Earlier today, my colleague Chris Graebe sent you the message below. I asked my team to forward it to you again tonight for one specific reason. I'm greatly concerned about the 10 popular household stocks our system just flagged as "Must-Sells." When the market fully absorbs the reality of the $38 trillion debt — and how the oil shock from the Middle East conflict accelerates that crisis — holding any of these 10 names could cost you years of portfolio gains. That's why you need to get rid of these stocks TODAY. More details in Chris's message below. See it and take preventive steps fast. Martin |
---------- Forwarded message ---------
From: Chris Graebe <issues@e.weissratings.com>
Sent: Thursday, April 09, 2025 9:45 AM
Dear Reader,
America's rapidly surging debt is no secret.
But for years, Wall Street and Washington have treated our $38 trillion national debt like a problem for tomorrow.
A crisis they can just keep kicking down the road.
However, the conflict in the Middle East over the last two weeks just violently accelerated the timeline.
With the Strait of Hormuz locked down, oil is surging. And analysts are predicting $150 a barrel if this drags on.
When oil spikes like that, inflation roars back into the economy.
In the past, the government would try to print, cut, or borrow its way out of an inflation shock.
But you cannot do that when you're sitting on a $38 trillion mountain of debt and paying $1 trillion a year as interest on it.
In short, this match has just hit a powder keg.
And it's going to trigger a radical, violent shift in the U.S. stock market.
Popular household stocks that looked untouchable a month ago could get gutted. And another set of overlooked stocks could go for massive, historic runs.
That's why I rushed to get this special broadcast live this morning.
Inside, I pull back the curtain on a 100-year-old market signal.
It's the exact same data-driven signal that called the bank collapses of the 1980s, the 2008 financial crisis, and the 2020 crash.
And right now, it is flashing its most urgent warning in decades.
I'm not going to ask you to read a 50-page economic report to understand this. I've laid it all out in a new video presentation that's officially live as of a few minutes ago.
You'll see exactly what this signal is telling us to do with our money today.
More importantly …
I'm giving away the names and ticker symbols of 3 stocks this system just upgraded to an urgent "BUY."
No strings attached. You'll get the names directly inside the video.
If you have a 401(k), an IRA or a standard brokerage account right now, you cannot afford to ignore this data.
Click here to watch the urgent $38T briefing and get your 3 free stock picks now
 |
Chris Graebe |
Carmax at 5-Year Lows: Is Now The Time to Buy?
Author: Thomas Hughes. Publication Date: 4/16/2026.
Key Points
- Carmax stock is poised to plunge following weak guidance.
- Contracting margins and weak demand are undercutting cash flow and capital return.
- A convergence of factors, including suspended buybacks, suggests new long-term lows are coming.
- Special Report: Elon Musk’s $1 Quadrillion AI IPO
Carmax (NYSE: KMX) shares are trading near five-year lows, presenting an intriguing opportunity. However, while the company is insulated from financial collapse, market forces are aligned in a way that is likely to keep the stock from rising near term.
The takeaway from the fiscal Q4 2026 results and forward guidance is that business conditions are weaker than hoped. Management paused its share buybacks to preserve capital — a significant detail given that fiscal 2025 (FY2025) buyback activity reduced the share count by a high single-digit percentage.
Xerox fell 71%. Avon fell 86%. Polaroid fell 91%. It’s happening again. (Ad)
In the late 1960s, Xerox fell 71%, Avon dropped 86%, and Polaroid collapsed 91% — while a completely different group of overlooked stocks delivered gains as high as 2,300%. JC Parets has traced this pattern back 135 years, and he says the same market split is forming right now.
He just recorded a short briefing showing which side of the divide he's positioned on — and he's giving away one stock name free.
Watch JC's urgent briefing hereThe likely outcome is that Carmax weathers these headwinds and emerges in a stronger position. The question is how long that will take and how low the stock may fall before it happens.
Carmax Near Price Floor: Sell-Side Support Isn’t Firm
Technically, the stock is trading near a potential price floor in early Q2 2026, roughly aligned with COVID-19-era lows. The difference from 2020 is that the earlier downturn was followed by a rapid rebound; price action in 2026 has languished at low levels without a catalyst to invigorate buyers. Analysts who might otherwise identify a support level are unlikely to do so given the guidance update and weakening sentiment.
MarketBeat's data shows a high-conviction Reduce rating based on 18 analysts, and sentiment has deteriorated through 2026. The trend includes numerous downgrades and price-target reductions, with consensus assuming fair value near the technical floor and the low end at $28. In that scenario, KMX could fall to fresh lows and potentially lose more than 25% before stabilizing.
Meanwhile, short sellers are increasing positions. Short interest, while not extreme at about 10%, has been rising and can act as a headwind for price action. It may rise further given the buyback pause and the potential for weaker upcoming reports. The deciding factor will be institutional investors; they own roughly 99% of shares, and their behavior is ambiguous.
Data shows institutional accumulation in early 2026 ahead of the Q1 release, but over the trailing 12 months buying and selling are roughly balanced. That reflects a market in limbo and highly susceptible to news. The risk is that weak guidance and the suspension of buybacks push institutions into distribution, driving the stock through critical support to new lows. In that scenario short sellers are likely to add momentum to any decline.
Carmax Headwinds Build, Impair Outlook for 2026
Carmax struggled in its fiscal Q4, with margins compressing amid weak demand and pricing pressure. Total unit sales rose 0.7%, driven by a 3% increase in Wholesale that was offset by a 0.8% decline in Retail. Comparable units fell by nearly 2%. Total retail sales were down more than 1%, and the guidance left investors cautious.
Margin news was disappointing. Adjusted earnings per share came in above MarketBeat's consensus but were affected by one-time items and overshadowed by weak margin guidance. The adjusted $0.34 in EPS was down more than 40% year over year, and margin contraction is expected to continue.
Rising Debt and Margin Pressure Sap Enthusiasm for KMX Stock
Other concerns include the balance sheet and leverage. The company is not facing bankruptcy, but FY2025 activities left it with reduced cash, higher inventory levels, and less equity, pushing leverage above target and creating vulnerability in the year ahead. Management points to additional cost savings from turnaround efforts, but those are offset by reduced margins and lower overall profitability.
Competitive pressure is another risk. Carmax lags on digital capabilities and is struggling to gain share against more digitally focused operators such as Carvana (NYSE: CVNA). Carvana completes a higher proportion of sales digitally and realizes better margins as a result. Carmax offers similar features but only a low-double-digit percentage of its sales are completed entirely online.
Catalysts this year include operational improvements under the new CEO, Keith Barr, who took over earlier in 2026 and is expected to accelerate digitization and operational efficiency. Market share gains are possible as smaller used-car dealers consolidate. The question is whether Carmax can capitalize on that opportunity ahead of competitors and do so profitably. Interest-rate trends could also help by increasing consumer appetite for pre-owned cars; as it stands, the market is pricing a slow pace of rate cuts, with the next reduction not expected by futures markets until sometime in 2027.
XLK in Rebound Mode, But Can It Reach Fresh Highs?
Authored by Thomas Hughes. Published: 4/16/2026.
Key Points
- The XLK technology ETF is on track to hit fresh highs and may do so before mid-year.
- A robust growth outlook underpins the ETF price outlook, which is expected to advance 25% over the next 12 months.
- Institutions are aggressively accumulating tech stocks following the Q1 2026 price correction; deep value remains.
- Special Report: Elon Musk’s $1 Quadrillion AI IPO
The State Street Technology Sector SPDR ETF (NYSEARCA: XLK) is rebounding and could reach fresh highs. A convergence of the technical outlook, sector performance, and strong individual leaders points not only to new highs but to a potential breakout that could lead to an extended rally.
Signals are strong, the upside potential looks meaningful, and there is still time to position ahead of the move. The initial catalyst is likely to come from Q1 2026 earnings reports. The technology sector is projected to lead growth, with average earnings growth of roughly 40%, far outpacing other sectors.
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Analyst Jim Rickards believes gold could climb to $10,000 per ounce or higher in the coming years - and he says investors still have time to position ahead of the move.
His top recommendation is a $2 stock he describes as sitting on the largest gold deposit in the world, with an extraction green light potentially arriving April 15.
See Jim Rickards' number one gold recommendation for 2026The closest competitor is the materials sector (also benefiting from AI-related demand), which is forecast to grow at about half that pace.
Importantly, trends indicate tech leaders may significantly outperform MarketBeat’s consensus estimates, reflecting a growing disconnect between analyst forecasts and actual performance.
XLK ETF Approaches Critical Resistance Ahead of Earnings Season
The XLK technical outlook is constructive. Despite pressure over the past two to three quarters, price action shows solid support and a trend-following signal as of mid-April. Support is visible around the moving averages, including the 30- and 150-day exponential moving averages (EMAs), and is confirmed by trading volume. Volume rose when the pullback started and remained elevated through the consolidation, indicating a firm support base in the $130–$135 range.
Recent price action reflects a rebound driven by renewed interest in chip and AI infrastructure names as well as software-as-a-service (SaaS) names. The weekly chart shows a Three White Soldiers pattern rising from the support zone, moving past the moving-average cluster, and approaching prior highs. This formation often reflects market enthusiasm, steady accumulation, and a higher probability of continued upside.
That said, risk remains: the ETF has not yet established a new high, and resistance at the prior peak could cap gains. Still, other technical signals and attractive valuations make a breakout more likely. Three of the ETF’s top five holdings — which account for roughly 45% of the fund’s value — are trading at historically low P/E multiples as of early Q2 2026.
NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA), the largest holding at nearly 16%, trades at about 23x its current-year outlook, implying it could rise roughly 50% on improving sentiment alone. More importantly, that current-year valuation may not reflect the company’s longer-term growth trajectory — which could place its long-term valuation in the single-digit range — creating room for much larger upside (some estimates point to potential 300%–400% gains in the most optimistic scenarios). The broader point: XLK contains multiple holdings with similar value/catalyst dynamics. The first major tech reports arrive before the end of April, with Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD) and NVIDIA following in May.
Analysts and Institutions Underpin XLK ETF Price Action
Institutional inflows are notable. Institutions are accumulating leading names (with buys outpacing sells by better than a 2-to-1 ratio) and are aggressively buying the ETF itself. MarketBeat data shows institutions added more than $17 billion of XLK shares in Q1 while selling very little, increasing their total ownership by double-digit percentages and likely continuing to add in the near- to mid-term.
Analysts are likewise bullish, projecting an average upside of about 25% for the ETF over the next 12 months. Analysts also expect an average gain of roughly 23.5% among the fund’s top six holdings. NVIDIA and Microsoft carry consensus 12-month upside targets near 45%, while Micron is projected to rise only modestly in that timeframe.
A key development in mid-April is how rapidly Micron (NASDAQ: MU) has improved: the company is seeing accelerating, triple-digit growth, is sold out of high-bandwidth memory (HBM) through next year, and has strong revision trends. Updated price targets place MU toward the high end of its range — near $700 — implying more than 50% upside from mid-April levels.
The largest risk for the sector is rising debt, as many companies are borrowing to finance AI expansion. A mitigating factor is growing backlogs: in many cases backlog growth is outpacing debt growth by as much as 5-to-1 on the low end and up to 50-to-1 at the high end, which helps support future revenue and justify investment.
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