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Bonus Article from MarketBeat Media Berkshire Bought the Dip—Now Constellation Brands Is ReboundingSubmitted by Leo Miller. First Published: 1/9/2026. 
Key Takeaways - Constellation Brands is rebounding sharply in early 2026 after a 36% loss last year, with its Q3 earnings beating expectations.
- Berkshire Hathaway increased its stake in STZ despite the stock’s downturn, signaling long-term confidence in its recovery potential.
- Strong beer segment performance, improving margins, and analyst price targets point to upside, even as broader alcohol demand remains uncertain.
After a disastrous 2025, shares of beer giant Constellation Brands (NYSE: STZ) are starting 2026 on a much more positive note. Constellation delivered a total return of -36% last year. In Q4 2024, Berkshire Hathaway initiated a position in Constellation and, as of September 2025, held 13.4 million shares valued at roughly $1.8 billion at the time. General weakness in the beer market and softer consumer demand contributed to the stock's decline. Constellation lowered its full-year fiscal 2026 (FY2026) guidance in September 2025 because of the difficult operating environment. Note that the firm's fiscal year is offset from the calendar year. A major shift is coming to the gold market — the world's largest gold buyer is preparing to launch a new way for everyday Americans to invest in gold with a click, and when it goes live in 2026 it could unleash a wave of demand unlike anything we've seen. Garrett Goggin believes one $1.60 gold stock is positioned to be a prime beneficiary of this surge — a move where even a small price jump could mean a meaningful gain — along with several other miners set to ride the same trend. Click here to see the $1.60 gold stock and Garrett's full list of recommendations As of the Jan. 8 close, Constellation shares were up more than 7% in 2026 and have rebounded about 16% since hitting a 2025 low near $128 in November. The stock moved higher after the company's latest earnings report, which lifted shares roughly 5.3%. Below we break down the quarter to provide an updated view on the stock. Constellation Delivers an Impressive Bottom-Line Beat In Q3 FY2026, Constellation reported net revenue of $2.22 billion, a 10% decline but about $52 million ahead of analysts' forecasts. The company posted comparable earnings per share of $3.06, down roughly 6% year-over-year but well above the consensus estimate of $2.63 (which had called for a 19% drop). Constellation's beer segment—about 90% of revenue—saw sales fall 1%, a decline that was still better than the broader beer industry and allowed the company to gain market share. Amid a weak backdrop, Constellation's beer business has consistently outperformed peers; in Q1 and Q2 FY2026 it led the beer category in dollar share gains, a trend that held through FY2025. While sales slipped, the beer segment's operating margin rose 10 basis points, reflecting disciplined cost management. Pulling down the company's overall growth was the Wine and Spirits segment, where reported sales fell 51%—largely due to the divestiture of SVEDKA vodka and part of its wine portfolio. Excluding those portfolio exits, sales in that segment fell about 7%, and on a pro forma basis the company-wide sales decline was roughly 2% versus the reported 10%. On that adjusted basis, Constellation's quarter looked stronger than the headline numbers suggested. Coming Off Multi-Year Lows, STZ May Have Room to Run Trading around $148, Constellation has only partially recovered from its 2025 low near $128. That low was also the stock's weakest level since April 2020—shortly after the COVID-19 market crash—so the company is rebounding from a multi-year drawdown, not just a short-term dip. Because the stock is climbing from historic lows, the current rally could have additional upside if operational trends stabilize and demand improves. Berkshire's Buying and Analyst Targets Support Upside Case Berkshire purchased more than 6 million Constellation shares in Q1 2025; the lowest closing price in that quarter was about $158, roughly 7% above the stock's current level. Berkshire has continued to add to its stake, signaling sustained conviction despite the share-price decline. Wall Street analysts also see upside: the MarketBeat consensus price target is around $182, implying about 23% upside from current levels. That upside is not guaranteed. The beer industry faces questions—a recent Gallup poll found just 54% of Americans reporting alcohol consumption, the lowest on record. However, that share has fallen to similar lows before and subsequently rebounded, suggesting consumption trends may be cyclical rather than structural. A recovery in drinking rates would be a meaningful tailwind for Constellation. Combined with Constellation's track record of beer segment share gains and a reasonable valuation after the sell-off, the company's outlook currently leans to the upside.
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