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Further Reading from MarketBeat Media Samsara Is Forming a Triple Bottom—Time to Buy?Authored by Sam Quirke. Article Published: 1/14/2026. 
In Brief - Samsara has bounced off this same support level twice over the past year, creating the potential for a textbook triple bottom near $32.
- Momentum indicators are starting to flash oversold, and the stock could quickly turn higher from here.
- Firm analyst conviction and attractive upside targets suggest the risk-reward clearly favors the bulls.
Shares of Samsara Inc (NYSE: IOT) are starting 2026 at a familiar—and increasingly important—level. The Internet of Things (IoT) tech stock has once again found support around the $32 mark after a steep fall. The $32 price zone has held on three separate occasions: the first bounce came in April last year, the second in August, and a third test is taking shape as the new year begins. Being back near multi-year lows is concerning, but the stock's track record of staying above this level is notable. The former CEO of Google calls it the most important thing to happen in 500, maybe 1,000 years of human society. A former U.S. Treasury Secretary says when your great-grandchildren write the history of this period, the political headlines will be the second or third story. The first story is something none of us have seen before. The dot-com collapse, global financial crisis, and COVID-19 pandemic don't compare to what's coming next. We may be entering a period of dramatic, almost unimaginable change. See the full warning and how to prepare now. Each time Samsara has tested $32, buyers stepped in decisively, driving rallies of up to 55% in the weeks and months that followed. With price action once again stabilizing here, investors are asking whether history might repeat itself. Why the Triple Bottom Matters A triple bottom is a technical pattern that forms when a stock tests the same support level three times without breaking lower. It represents a standoff: bulls bet the floor will hold, while bears argue the third test could finally give way. Samsara's prior tests of the $32 level absorbed selling pressure and sapped momentum from the bears, but there is always the risk this attempt plays out differently. The most recent slide back toward support followed last month's earnings report. The stock briefly tried to rally but failed to consolidate gains and quickly rolled over, bringing shares back to a level investors would have preferred not to revisit so soon. Still, the broader pattern remains constructive. Each selloff into the low $30s has attracted strong demand, suggesting a cohort of investors is willing to accumulate shares aggressively at these prices. The fact that the stock has repeatedly failed to break below $32 despite multiple tests strengthens the case that this level represents a genuine floor. Oversold Conditions Add to the Setup The technical backdrop is beginning to turn supportive. Samsara's relative strength index (RSI) is hovering in oversold territory, a signal that selling pressure may be becoming stretched. When oversold conditions coincide with a well-established support level, the setup becomes more compelling. That combination suggests additional downside from here could be limited, while upside potential is meaningful if buyers regain control. In previous instances, similar conditions preceded rallies of up to 55% once selling pressure eased. Analysts See Significant Upside From Here Recent analyst commentary reinforces the view that the current bout of weakness may be overdone. RBC recently reiterated its Outperform rating with a $46 price target, implying roughly 40% upside from current levels. BTIG Research was even more bullish last month, maintaining a Buy rating and assigning a $55 target, which points to potential upside of more than 60%. Analysts are increasingly positive on Samsara's end-to-end fleet management platform, which addresses a vast, historically underserved market where many organizations still rely on manual workflows and legacy systems. That market opportunity remains intact despite recent share-price volatility. There is also growing enthusiasm around Samsara's ability to move upmarket. While small and mid-sized businesses have been a foundation, larger enterprise customers are becoming the fastest-growing segment. These customers tend to spend more, adopt multiple products, and drive stronger expansion over time — dynamics that should act as tailwinds for the share price through the rest of the year. The Risk-Reward Heading Into 2026 None of this guarantees an immediate recovery rally. Triple bottoms still require confirmation, and a failure to hold $32 through the coming sessions would invalidate the pattern quickly. Investors should also be mindful that growth stocks like Samsara can remain volatile even if they show signs of bouncing off support. That said, the current setup is attractive: support is well defined, downside risk appears limited, and the upside potential is hard to ignore. If buyers can continue to defend this level, we could see a sharp move higher through the rest of Q1.
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