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Dave & Buster's Stock: Is Now the Time to Make a PLAY?
Written by Thomas Hughes. Published 9/17/2025.
Key Points
- Dave & Buster's turnaround gains traction with the hiring of new CEO Tarun Lal.
- The business is financially sound with the balance sheet bolstered by sale-leaseback transactions.
- Sell-side trends suggest the downtrend is coming to an end, and the 2025 buying opportunity will soon disappear.
Dave & Buster's (NASDAQ: PLAY) FQ2 earnings were underwhelming, with tepid revenue growth and a sharp contraction in earnings.
That said, the report underscores the company's strengths and the improving prospects for recovery. Dave & Buster's has appointed Tarun Lal— a 25-year KFC veteran— as its new CEO.
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Click here to get the name of the company and the full investor breakdownLal's extensive background across every facet of KFC's U.S. operations provides a solid foundation for leading Dave & Buster's through its turnaround. With the company already in the midst of restructuring, his expertise brings both risk mitigation and upside potential.
Having a CEO aligned with strategic priorities could accelerate the turnaround and deliver tangible gains in shareholder value sooner rather than later.
Dave & Buster's Crashes on Weak Results: Floor in Sight
Dave & Buster's Q2 results featured significant margin compression, beginning at the gross level and deepening at the operating level. Higher input and operating costs, new store openings, and the turnaround effort—which includes correcting missteps from the previous management—all contributed to the squeeze.
Many of these expenses should moderate over time, and others will ultimately pay dividends in improved employee and customer satisfaction, driving future revenue and earnings.
On the positive side, Dave & Buster's resumed same-store sales growth in Q2. The 0.05% increase fell 100 basis points below MarketBeat's consensus, but it ended several quarters of contraction and paves the way for acceleration in Q3.
Critically, the company's operating performance remains strong enough to sustain financial health while reinvesting in the business and repurchasing shares. Although buybacks slowed versus last year, they still amounted to nearly 3% of market cap for the quarter, reducing the share count by roughly 14% year-over-year.
Dave & Buster's balance sheet is in good shape. A sale-leaseback program has bolstered its cash position, enabling aggressive repurchases. At the end of Q2, cash and total assets were up, partially offset by higher debt and liabilities.
The net result: a 14% increase in shareholder equity despite the sizeable share reduction, with further gains expected as the year unfolds.
Additional sale-leasebacks and continued store expansion—targeting 11 new locations in 2025, including international markets—should provide more leverage for the recovery. While overseas venues still represent a small portion of the footprint, they're projected to sustain mid-to-high single-digit growth over the long term.
Sell-Side Interest Pushes PLAY to Its Floor
Persistent sell-side pressure has driven PLAY shares lower over the past 18 months. However, short interest is rapidly falling, institutional ownership remains above 90%, and analysts are signaling a bottom—suggesting the downtrend may be nearing its end.
In the hours after the earnings release, two analysts trimmed their price targets to align with recent lows but maintained Hold ratings consistent with the consensus. No analyst currently recommends a Sell on the restaurant stock.
The share price isn't overtly bullish but appears to have found support near the COVID-19 trough around $17. Breaking below that level would likely require a material setback in the business.
In all likelihood, PLAY will trade sideways within its established range until upcoming earnings reflect the tangible impact of the turnaround and growth initiatives.
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