The Most Important Chart to Find a Market Bottom

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The Most Important Chart to Find a Market Bottom  Dear Reader,  I’m keeping my focus on insider buying and selling education this week.  One of the most important signals of whether you should buy or sell a stock is the activity of executives at a company.  If CFOs and CEOs are buying the stock, you should not short the stock. On the other hand, if CFOs and CEOs have recently sold the stock, you should consider moving on to another buying opportunity.    That comes from a study called “Do Insiders Exploit Anomalies?” It was co-written by University of Michigan professor Nejat Seyhun in 2018. It also showed that executives at companies experience the best source of alpha between the time they buy their stock and the time the markets announce the purchases.  We want to replicate their success… and we’ll discuss how next week. But today, we want to center on the most important chart in finance. This can tell you when it’s time to return to the market… after a brutal sell-off.  And it’s all about insider buying. Insider Buying Versus Selling The chart below comes from SECForm4.com. It’s a measurement of the dollar-for-dollar amount of buying among insiders compared to the amount of selling by insiders at any given time over the past 18 years. When the blue line is near the top of the chart, this signals SIGNIFICANT levels of insider buying.  --- And when the selling levels dramatically outpace the amount of buying — at the bottom of the chart — it typically aligns with near-term market tops and blackout periods for buyers.  Only pay attention to the top side of the chart. You’ll see seven periods of extreme insider buying compared to selling. Why was the buying so strong in October 2008, March 2009, August 2011, January 2016, October 2018, April 2020 and October 2022?  The answer should be obvious. But… let me tell you. Crisis Brings Opportunity Every one of these events coincided with a financial crisis and a major policy shift that fueled a pivot among central banks around the globe. These events largely coincided with massive amounts of financial stimulus to rebuild the “economy.”  But due to central bank efforts, the markets found a bottom. And insiders COLLECTIVELY bought every dollar of their stock possible. Don’t believe me?   • October 2008: Fresh off the collapse of Lehman Brothers, Congress announced a broad rescue plan for the economy. Insiders loaded up on their stock   • March 2009: With the stock market in the gutter, the Fed announced Operation Twist — the first quantitative easing (QE) within the central bank’s cycle of the past 15 years. Again, insiders loaded up.   • August 2011: That was the last fiscal cliff — during the last downgrade of U.S. credit and a severe standoff over the national debt. In addition, we had a major European crisis. After Black Monday in 2011, we saw a big uptick in insider buying.   • January 2016: This was a crisis in China. There was a huge pivot and coordination among central banks, and the People’s Bank of China provided significant easing to the markets. Insiders loaded up.    • October to December 2018: This was the last time the Fed tried to get off the financialization train. We had a market decline of nearly 20% in December 2018 until Fed Chair Jerome Powell agreed to cut interest rates and started buying assets again. And insiders bought it up.    • April 2020: The Fed created one of every three dollars currently in existence on the back of the global COVID-19 collapse. The S&P 500 fell nearly 33%. Insiders loaded up after the Fed’s intervention.    • October 2022: This appears to be the global liquidity bottom for the most recent market cycle. We had four major central bank moves — and global liquidity has expanded since the Bank of England crisis. Again, in October, insider buying was EXTREMELY strong.  So what now? Markets are in severe trouble at the moment as investors try to make sense of the recent downgrade to U.S. credit. Regardless of what happens, do yourself a favor and keep this bit of information in your back pocket.  When the insiders buy… in big droves… it’s time to load up.  Speaking of loading, up... Over at Tactical Wealth Investor, I’m unveiling my latest pick on Friday. I’m currently writing my monthly report — and I’m including a deep dive into the credit downgrade, updates on the U.S. oil sector, a full recap of our portfolio, and this incredible pick… We’re digging into a big opportunity for tomorrow… and I want you there. You can sign up at Tactical Wealth Investor.  --- Chat soon,  Garrett Baldwin *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is an inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk.  _________________________________________________ Get In, Get Out… in 24 Hours or Less  In the world of trading, VERY few people can consistently pull off the “24-hour trade.” And even fewer can do it while pinpointing gains of 100% or better.  It’s not because they’re bad traders… It's just that their strategy was never designed for 24-hour trades… According to options trading extraordinaire Lance Ippolito, there’s only one way to trade this current market, and that’s 24 hours at time. It has nothing to do with chart patterns, technicals, fundamentals or anything else. It has everything to do with trading ahead of headline news stories. And thankfully, that’s just what he does… Not only does he have the data and research to back that up…. He has real trade alerts to validate how well it works.   The Proof Is in the Pudding The profits and performance shown are not typical, and you may lose money.  From 2/21/20 to 8/1/23 the win rate on live trades is 67.7%, the average return of winners and losers combined is 13.4%. The average winner is 51.6% with a 6.7-day average hold time for the options. ___________________________________________ Market Momentum is YELLOW   Momentum is yellow ahead of the earnings reports from Apple Inc. (Nasdaq: AAPL) and Amazon.com Inc. (Nasdaq: AMZN). Expect a lot of bouncing around after the market. Also, be sure to count how many times Apple executives say “AI” during their earnings call. *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. _____________________________________________ Want to get a link to my TradingPub articles as soon as they post? I’ve got you covered! Telegram is an entirely free messaging app and getting access is as easy as 1… 2… 3…  Download Telegram on your mobile device (Before you can add Telegram to your desktop computer, you must download the application on your phone and create your account: To download to your iPhone, click here. To download to your Android device, click here. After the download is complete, please create an account. NOTE: You can manage your privacy settings by clicking “Settings,” and then “Privacy & Security.”  Download Telegram on your desktop: Once you’ve downloaded Telegram onto your mobile device and created your personal account, you can download it onto your desktop computer. To download onto your PC, click here. To download onto your MacOS, click here. Then add the TradingPub channel and you’re done: https://t.me/+9_jjnFuAvno0MjNh See you there!  Garrett

The Most Important Chart to Find a Market Bottom   Dear Reader,    I’m keeping my focus on insider buying and selling education this week.    One of the most important signals of whether you should buy or sell a stock is the activity of executives at a company.  If CFOs and CEOs are buying the stock, you should not short the stock. On the other hand, if CFOs and CEOs have recently sold the stock, you should consider moving on to another buying opportunity.    That comes from a study called “Do Insiders Exploit Anomalies?” It was co-written by University of Michigan professor Nejat Seyhun in 2018. It also showed that executives at companies experience the best source of alpha between the time they buy their stock and the time the markets announce the purchases.    We want to replicate their success… and we’ll discuss how next week.   But today, we want to center on the most important chart in finance. This can tell you when it’s time to return to the market… after a brutal sell-off.    And it’s all about insider buying.   Insider Buying Versus Selling   The chart below comes from SECForm4.com. It’s a measurement of the dollar-for-dollar amount of buying among insiders compared to the amount of selling by insiders at any given time over the past 18 years. When the blue line is near the top of the chart, this signals SIGNIFICANT levels of insider buying.    --- And when the selling levels dramatically outpace the amount of buying — at the bottom of the chart — it typically aligns with near-term market tops and blackout periods for buyers.    Only pay attention to the top side of the chart. You’ll see seven periods of extreme insider buying compared to selling. Why was the buying so strong in October 2008, March 2009, August 2011, January 2016, October 2018, April 2020 and October 2022?    The answer should be obvious. But… let me tell you.   Crisis Brings Opportunity   Every one of these events coincided with a financial crisis and a major policy shift that fueled a pivot among central banks around the globe. These events largely coincided with massive amounts of financial stimulus to rebuild the “economy.”    But due to central bank efforts, the markets found a bottom. And insiders COLLECTIVELY bought every dollar of their stock possible. Don’t believe me?   October 2008: Fresh off the collapse of Lehman Brothers, Congress announced a broad rescue plan for the economy. Insiders loaded up on their stock   March 2009: With the stock market in the gutter, the Fed announced Operation Twist — the first quantitative easing (QE) within the central bank’s cycle of the past 15 years. Again, insiders loaded up.   August 2011: That was the last fiscal cliff — during the last downgrade of U.S. credit and a severe standoff over the national debt. In addition, we had a major European crisis. After Black Monday in 2011, we saw a big uptick in insider buying.   January 2016: This was a crisis in China. There was a huge pivot and coordination among central banks, and the People’s Bank of China provided significant easing to the markets. Insiders loaded up.    October to December 2018: This was the last time the Fed tried to get off the financialization train. We had a market decline of nearly 20% in December 2018 until Fed Chair Jerome Powell agreed to cut interest rates and started buying assets again. And insiders bought it up.    April 2020: The Fed created one of every three dollars currently in existence on the back of the global COVID-19 collapse. The S&P 500 fell nearly 33%. Insiders loaded up after the Fed’s intervention.    October 2022: This appears to be the global liquidity bottom for the most recent market cycle. We had four major central bank moves — and global liquidity has expanded since the Bank of England crisis. Again, in October, insider buying was EXTREMELY strong.  So what now?   Markets are in severe trouble at the moment as investors try to make sense of the recent downgrade to U.S. credit. Regardless of what happens, do yourself a favor and keep this bit of information in your back pocket.    When the insiders buy… in big droves… it’s time to load up.    Speaking of loading, up... Over at Tactical Wealth Investor, I’m unveiling my latest pick on Friday. I’m currently writing my monthly report — and I’m including a deep dive into the credit downgrade, updates on the U.S. oil sector, a full recap of our portfolio, and this incredible pick…   We’re digging into a big opportunity for tomorrow… and I want you there.   You can sign up at Tactical Wealth Investor.    --- Chat soon,  Garrett Baldwin   *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is an inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk.  _________________________________________________ Get In, Get Out… in 24 Hours or Less   In the world of trading, VERY few people can consistently pull off the “24-hour trade.”   And even fewer can do it while pinpointing gains of 100% or better.    It’s not because they’re bad traders…   It's just that their strategy was never designed for 24-hour trades…   According to options trading extraordinaire Lance Ippolito, there’s only one way to trade this current market, and that’s 24 hours at time.   It has nothing to do with chart patterns, technicals, fundamentals or anything else.   It has everything to do with trading ahead of headline news stories.   And thankfully, that’s just what he does…   Not only does he have the data and research to back that up….   He has real trade alerts to validate how well it works.   The Proof Is in the Pudding The profits and performance shown are not typical, and you may lose money.  From 2/21/20 to 8/1/23 the win rate on live trades is 67.7%, the average return of winners and losers combined is 13.4%. The average winner is 51.6% with a 6.7-day average hold time for the options. ___________________________________________ Market Momentum is YELLOW   Momentum is yellow ahead of the earnings reports from Apple Inc. (Nasdaq: AAPL) and Amazon.com Inc. (Nasdaq: AMZN). Expect a lot of bouncing around after the market. Also, be sure to count how many times Apple executives say “AI” during their earnings call.   *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. _____________________________________________ Want to get a link to my TradingPub articles as soon as they post? I’ve got you covered!   Telegram is an entirely free messaging app and getting access is as easy as 1… 2… 3…    Download Telegram on your mobile device (Before you can add Telegram to your desktop computer, you must download the application on your phone and create your account:   To download to your iPhone, click here. To download to your Android device, click here.   After the download is complete, please create an account.   NOTE: You can manage your privacy settings by clicking “Settings,” and then “Privacy & Security.”    Download Telegram on your desktop:   Once you’ve downloaded Telegram onto your mobile device and created your personal account, you can download it onto your desktop computer.   To download onto your PC, click here. To download onto your MacOS, click here.   Then add the TradingPub channel and you’re done: https://t.me/+9_jjnFuAvno0MjNh   See you there!    Garrett

A TradingPub Publication   ABOUT US:  We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. TradingPub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from TradingPub LLC are for your informational purposes only. Neither TradingPub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. TradingPub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions.  Please visit https://thetradingpub.com/terms-of-service/  for our full Terms and Conditions. Unsubscribe This email was sent to punjabsvera@gmail.com by TradingPub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318 Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States

A TradingPub Publication   ABOUT US:  We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. TradingPub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from TradingPub LLC are for your informational purposes only. Neither TradingPub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. TradingPub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions.  Please visit https://thetradingpub.com/terms-of-service/  for our full Terms and Conditions. Unsubscribe This email was sent to punjabsvera@gmail.com by TradingPub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318 Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States