The 3 (Secret) Charts That Drive Markets

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The 3 Secret Charts That Drive Markets  Dear Reader,  Markets are continuing their wicked chop over the last few weeks. It’s been nearly two weeks since momentum turned negative, marked by a sharp downturn in the daily reading of the MACD for the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSEArca: SPY).    Now, you’ll notice that the markets really give way as this reading tanks.  But we have to understand the real drivers behind these markets. How is it that they rip higher in January… crater in March… rally again in June… and give way again as we move toward September? There are three specific things I follow to help guide me through the markets. These are my secret weapons… academically backed… and institutinally focused. And any trader or investor can learn how to use them. I’ll show you how in a moment. But first, let’s show you the evidence behind market movements in 2023.  Red Momentum, Falling Liquidity If you want to master the macroeconomic conditions of the market, you need to follow three things. Let’s define each of them, and show you a chart that provide ample support to the thesis.  1. Liquidity:  Solomon Brothers leaders once described this as the closest thing to insider information… This is money from central banks, private markets and international money movements. We know a relationship exists between the expansion and contraction of central bank balance sheets and the performance of the Global MSCI Index. The chart below is Ed Yardeni’s comparison of the balance sheets of the central banks compared to the S&P 500. When we add in other forms of liquidity, the relationship is even tighter. Source: Ed Yardeni, August 18, 2023   We know that when liquidity expands, money finds its way into the equity markets and other risk assets. And when liquidity dries, investors must scramble for money to refinance debt and determine the optimal way to manage expectations. The disconnect between the S&P 500 and central bank liquidity this year is largely driven by other sources of liquidity I mentioned outside of the traditional central bank world.    2. Equity momentum:  This phenomenon measures the inflows and outflows of the financial markets. We measure the total number of stocks in breakout mode compared to those in the breakdown mode. It produces this signal… And it tells you what to do when new conditions emerge. This is our North Star. When we measure this, we can identify the rate of selling or buying across the market, and whether our chances of success going long or short are optimal. Typically, we’ve seen a negative-momentum event preceed a major liquidity event without warning. For example, momentum went negative on March 7. At the time, there were no mentions of regional banking crises in any major media outlet. I can only find one article on “American Banker” from February that suggests problems were brewing. A week after momentum went negative, the regional banking crisis was the No. 1 story in the markets. We had no idea why… but we knew it was time to get out of the way.   Source: TradingView, Tim Melvin, Garrett Baldwin   3. Insider Buying to Selling  This is the summation of every executive and board member of every public company’s knowledge of today’s economic ecosystem… Insiders have very good timing when it comes to buying and selling their stocks. But when we zoom out and see the collective force of their buying and selling, we see they tend to all buy at times that align with policy shifts that fuel and push more money into the system, and ultimately into risk assets like equities. They’ve bought right before every major central bank pivot over the last 13 years. And this is one of the most powerful anomalies in the market.  Source: SECForm4.com What Can We Win or Lose?   Combining our knowledge of three primary elements of the market is your secret weapon to success. And when you use insider buying and momentum together, it can become a magical combination for traders.  With my new Executive Payouts Unlimited readers, I’ve been avoiding the recent sell-off by focusing on sectors that have positive momentum — and avoiding sectors that are selling off.  And here’s the thing...   I don’t want you to necessarily think about how much money you can make when momentum goes green (although it can be quite sizeable). You can see the waves of buying after each turn…  That’s when we will attack the market.    No…    I NEED YOU to think how much you will lose when momentum goes NEGATIVE and you sit around doubting what the data tells us.  How much are you willing to lose by ignoring it? What if you could have gotten out of the way on March 7 of this year… or two weeks ago? Or in February 2020, before the COVID-19 crash. Executive Payouts Unlimited is your place to trade momentum and insider buying, and maximize your success by focusing on high-probability trades in positive-momentum conditions.  The next positive-momentum event could be right around the corner.  Chat soon,  Garrett Baldwin *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is an inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk.  _________________________________________________ Have You Seen T-Buzz’s ‘Everday Income’ Project?   Tom Busby just opened up the door to his brand new Everyday Income project… A way to target extra cash from the stock market in just 24 hours… EVEN when it’s dropping like a rock! For example… Like what you could have seen at the beginning of August. Let’s say someone had $2,500 invested… Now keep in mind… After ripping to 52-week highs, the S&P 500 was just starting to cool off in the first week of August. Falling 2.4% over the first few days…  And anyone who had their investments tied up in the stock market would have lost money… A few hundred bucks at least. But with the method Tom will show you today… You could have seen a totally different story. In fact, his strategy has worked on over 100 private signals with a remarkable 72.5% success rate… No backtest. No curve fitting. Real signals. And over the last few weeks, Tom and his team have been able to fine tune the strategy to make it even better.   Get the Details Here _______________________________________________ Market Momentum is Red Full Red warning. Over at Tactical Wealth Investor, we are keeping our eyes on the current markets. Energy is our lone positive sector, and we’re maximizing on the upside with another name in the sector in two weeks. Be sure to sign up for my full market and macro analysis, and tap into one of the world’s best income-generating portfolios available today. *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. ___________________________________________ Want to get a link to my TradingPub articles as soon as they post? I’ve got you covered! Telegram is an entirely free messaging app and getting access is as easy as 1… 2… 3…  Download Telegram on your mobile device (Before you can add Telegram to your desktop computer, you must download the application on your phone and create your account: To download to your iPhone, click here. To download to your Android device, click here. After the download is complete, please create an account. NOTE: You can manage your privacy settings by clicking “Settings,” and then “Privacy & Security.”  Download Telegram on your desktop: Once you’ve downloaded Telegram onto your mobile device and created your personal account, you can download it onto your desktop computer. To download onto your PC, click here. To download onto your MacOS, click here. Then add the TradingPub channel and you’re done: https://t.me/+9_jjnFuAvno0MjNh See you there!  Garrett

The 3 Secret Charts That Drive Markets   Dear Reader,    Markets are continuing their wicked chop over the last few weeks. It’s been nearly two weeks since momentum turned negative, marked by a sharp downturn in the daily reading of the MACD for the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSEArca: SPY).    Now, you’ll notice that the markets really give way as this reading tanks.  But we have to understand the real drivers behind these markets. How is it that they rip higher in January… crater in March… rally again in June… and give way again as we move toward September?   There are three specific things I follow to help guide me through the markets. These are my secret weapons… academically backed… and institutinally focused. And any trader or investor can learn how to use them.   I’ll show you how in a moment. But first, let’s show you the evidence behind market movements in 2023.    Red Momentum, Falling Liquidity   If you want to master the macroeconomic conditions of the market, you need to follow three things. Let’s define each of them, and show you a chart that provide ample support to the thesis.    1. Liquidity:    Solomon Brothers leaders once described this as the closest thing to insider information… This is money from central banks, private markets and international money movements. We know a relationship exists between the expansion and contraction of central bank balance sheets and the performance of the Global MSCI Index. The chart below is Ed Yardeni’s comparison of the balance sheets of the central banks compared to the S&P 500. When we add in other forms of liquidity, the relationship is even tighter. Source: Ed Yardeni, August 18, 2023   We know that when liquidity expands, money finds its way into the equity markets and other risk assets. And when liquidity dries, investors must scramble for money to refinance debt and determine the optimal way to manage expectations. The disconnect between the S&P 500 and central bank liquidity this year is largely driven by other sources of liquidity I mentioned outside of the traditional central bank world.    2. Equity momentum:    This phenomenon measures the inflows and outflows of the financial markets. We measure the total number of stocks in breakout mode compared to those in the breakdown mode. It produces this signal… And it tells you what to do when new conditions emerge. This is our North Star. When we measure this, we can identify the rate of selling or buying across the market, and whether our chances of success going long or short are optimal. Typically, we’ve seen a negative-momentum event preceed a major liquidity event without warning. For example, momentum went negative on March 7. At the time, there were no mentions of regional banking crises in any major media outlet. I can only find one article on “American Banker” from February that suggests problems were brewing. A week after momentum went negative, the regional banking crisis was the No. 1 story in the markets. We had no idea why… but we knew it was time to get out of the way.   Source: TradingView, Tim Melvin, Garrett Baldwin   3. Insider Buying to Selling    This is the summation of every executive and board member of every public company’s knowledge of today’s economic ecosystem… Insiders have very good timing when it comes to buying and selling their stocks. But when we zoom out and see the collective force of their buying and selling, we see they tend to all buy at times that align with policy shifts that fuel and push more money into the system, and ultimately into risk assets like equities. They’ve bought right before every major central bank pivot over the last 13 years. And this is one of the most powerful anomalies in the market.  Source: SECForm4.com What Can We Win or Lose?   Combining our knowledge of three primary elements of the market is your secret weapon to success. And when you use insider buying and momentum together, it can become a magical combination for traders.    With my new Executive Payouts Unlimited readers, I’ve been avoiding the recent sell-off by focusing on sectors that have positive momentum — and avoiding sectors that are selling off.    And here’s the thing...     I don’t want you to necessarily think about how much money you can make when momentum goes green (although it can be quite sizeable). You can see the waves of buying after each turn…    That’s when we will attack the market.    No…    I NEED YOU to think how much you will lose when momentum goes NEGATIVE and you sit around doubting what the data tells us.    How much are you willing to lose by ignoring it? What if you could have gotten out of the way on March 7 of this year… or two weeks ago? Or in February 2020, before the COVID-19 crash.   Executive Payouts Unlimited is your place to trade momentum and insider buying, and maximize your success by focusing on high-probability trades in positive-momentum conditions.    The next positive-momentum event could be right around the corner.  Chat soon,  Garrett Baldwin   *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is an inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk.  _________________________________________________ Have You Seen T-Buzz’s ‘Everday Income’ Project?   Tom Busby just opened up the door to his brand new Everyday Income project…   A way to target extra cash from the stock market in just 24 hours… EVEN when it’s dropping like a rock!   For example… Like what you could have seen at the beginning of August.   Let’s say someone had $2,500 invested…   Now keep in mind… After ripping to 52-week highs, the S&P 500 was just starting to cool off in the first week of August.   Falling 2.4% over the first few days…    And anyone who had their investments tied up in the stock market would have lost money… A few hundred bucks at least.   But with the method Tom will show you today… You could have seen a totally different story.   In fact, his strategy has worked on over 100 private signals with a remarkable 72.5% success rate…   No backtest. No curve fitting. Real signals.   And over the last few weeks, Tom and his team have been able to fine tune the strategy to make it even better.   Get the Details Here _______________________________________________ Market Momentum is Red   Full Red warning. Over at Tactical Wealth Investor, we are keeping our eyes on the current markets. Energy is our lone positive sector, and we’re maximizing on the upside with another name in the sector in two weeks. Be sure to sign up for my full market and macro analysis, and tap into one of the world’s best income-generating portfolios available today.   *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. ___________________________________________ Want to get a link to my TradingPub articles as soon as they post? I’ve got you covered!   Telegram is an entirely free messaging app and getting access is as easy as 1… 2… 3…    Download Telegram on your mobile device (Before you can add Telegram to your desktop computer, you must download the application on your phone and create your account:   To download to your iPhone, click here. To download to your Android device, click here.   After the download is complete, please create an account.   NOTE: You can manage your privacy settings by clicking “Settings,” and then “Privacy & Security.”    Download Telegram on your desktop:   Once you’ve downloaded Telegram onto your mobile device and created your personal account, you can download it onto your desktop computer.   To download onto your PC, click here. To download onto your MacOS, click here.   Then add the TradingPub channel and you’re done: https://t.me/+9_jjnFuAvno0MjNh   See you there!    Garrett

A TradingPub Publication   ABOUT US:  We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. TradingPub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from TradingPub LLC are for your informational purposes only. Neither TradingPub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. TradingPub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions.  Please visit https://thetradingpub.com/terms-of-service/  for our full Terms and Conditions. Unsubscribe This email was sent to punjabsvera@gmail.com by TradingPub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318 Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States

A TradingPub Publication   ABOUT US:  We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. TradingPub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from TradingPub LLC are for your informational purposes only. Neither TradingPub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. TradingPub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions.  Please visit https://thetradingpub.com/terms-of-service/  for our full Terms and Conditions. Unsubscribe This email was sent to punjabsvera@gmail.com by TradingPub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318 Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States