For the many of you who have asked: Senator Z has still not contributed a penny to support my work. Don’t be like Z! Become a voluntary paying subscriber or contributor today. Or you can contribute the amount of your choice through one of these methods: * Buy me a cocktail (at Simi Valley prices….), tax and server tip included, by clicking here. * Buy me a cup of coffee (or a week’s worth) by clicking here. * Check. Send a simple email to markhalperintalk@gmail.com and ask where you can send a check. • PayPal. markhalperinnyc@gmail.com • Venmo. Mark-Halperin-4 (telephone number ends in x3226) • Zelle. markhalperinnyc@gmail.com Thank you for your support. Mark **** Is Ron DeSantis the kind of top-shelf presidential campaign trail performer and likeable communicator who generally wins the White House? As I wrote yesterday about Donald Trump’s CPAC address, one high-profile speech is a single data point, not conclusive evidence. So take my take on the Sunshine State topper’s Sunday afternoon remarks at the Reagan library as a snapshot in time. But it is a photo taken with a Leica Q2 Digital Camera, not an old Samsung phone. If DeSantis can’t get it up politically for a speech at that august venue, it isn’t clear what he is waiting for. No matter where else he speaks in 2023 (the Detroit Economic Club, American Enterprise Institute, St. Anselm College, the Iowa State Fair), there will arguably be no location more symbolically resonant than the Simi Valley citadel where DeSantis spoke this weekend. It might have been an even more important moment than his expected formal announcement speech. As readers of this newsletter know, in the upper reaches of the Republican Party, even among some sharpies who desperately want DeSantis to be the nominee, there is a view that the man on a three-year rocket ride is personally odd/diffident, uncomfortable with retail politics, not a great speaker, and without humor, nuance, or genuine emotion when it comes to giving speeches, doing interviews, or talking to voters (or donors). You can watch the full speech here, starting at about the 8-minute mark. Overall, if you watch the whole thing, look for moments of writing or delivery that seem elevated beyond what one might throw off at a routine Kissimmee photo op; for anything surprising or delightful; for anything that makes you stop short and say, That man has a true sweeping vision for what this nation needs! You will notice that from start to finish, DeSantis acts like, since all of his audience knows him from Fox News, that he doesn’t have to introduce his bio or explain how his bio informs his vision for the nation and policy. Like, he doesn’t do that thing that people running for president for the first time generally do. For those of you who don’t have time to watch the whole cliché-filled and Fox-News-greatest-hits speech, here are the three moments I recommend to you: A. 8:50 to 9:45: Note the comedy styling of Ron DeSantis as he blandly tells a joke older than Joe Biden and Donald Trump combined. B. 52:25 to 53:32: See how you rate DeSantis’ capacity to end his remarks on a stirring and uplifting note. C. 53:40 to the VERY end: Watch how DeSantis exits and listen to what the announcer says.
Many (but not all) Reagan library speakers take questions from the audience, and/but it is not the least bit surprising that DeSantis did not. Look, he has his rap down (Florida is where woke goes to die!), and check out the essential reading New York Times story about the Sunshine State’s legislative session that gets underway this week, at which King Ron will pass a bunch of base-pleasing new stuff. Can DeSantis win the nomination if his national stage performance level is on par with what he produced on Sunday? Maybe. But there are reasons to doubt that. Just as there are reasons to doubt that the New York Post’s claiming in an editorial that polls consistently show DeSantis doing better against Biden than Trump (simply false) or Chris Sununu simply asserting that Trump won’t be the nominee will somehow stop the Maven of Mar-a-Lago from being victorious. In conclusion, those betting on Ron DeSantis should watch the Reagan speech and see if they want to spread their wagers around the table a bit more. **** Beyond the question of how formidable a candidate DeSantis will be, there are three 2023 questions that will tell the tale of 2024 for the Republican Party and much of America: 1. Who else will emerge on the presidential campaign trail to challenge Trump and DeSantis? 2. What kind of tactician, strategist, and American leader will Kevin McCarthy turn out to be, especially and including when it comes to aid for Ukraine, the debt ceiling, the Pentagon, and spending restraint? (See the essential reading Wall Street Journal piece on the Biden budget for a bit of a preview of these McCarthy questions.) 3. Will this current crop of House Republicans turn out to be more Trey Gowdy or John Dingell when it comes to managing the substance and media plan for investigations into the opposition party? Two big New York Post stories this morning lean into the start of the beginning of the birth of some answers in twin key areas for the GOP: COVID/Fauci and 1/6. * If this Fauci story is real, this narrative has the chance to jump to the Dominant Media:
* The Post also previews Tucker Carlson’s plan to launch Monday night with his big production using the 1/6 videos that the Speaker gave him exclusive access to:
For obvious reasons, that second storyline is less likely to jump to the Dominant Media. But it isn’t impossible, if true and compelling. **** ESSENTIAL READING* Politico on DeSantis’ House career. * Secretary Buttigieg’s special gifts include the capacity to be simultaneously contrite and indignant, on full display in an exclusive CNN interview:
Fun game in the Buttigieg household this morning – guess the member!:
* Ramesh Ponnuru on us all being Trumpers on trade now. Well, at least a lot of us. * Keying off of this Associated Press story out of New Hampshire about Democratic ennui (or worse) when it comes to Joe Biden ’24 – I continue to ask: Could the Granite State be where a wounding nomination challenge takes hold? There are many such scenarios being spun out in Manchester taverns and Concord law offices. You're currently a free subscriber to Wide World of News. For the full experience, upgrade your subscription. |



