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One of the Top Performing ETFs of 2026 So Far May Surprise You
Author: Nathan Reiff. First Published: 2/16/2026.
Key Points
- BWET is one of the leading ETFs by year-to-date performance, with returns of around 98% so far in 2026.
- The fund has a unique focus on oil freight futures, generating profit when oil shipment prices rise beyond market expectations.
- However, BWET's sky-high expenses, limited asset base, and low trading volume all present additional risks on top of an already-complex strategy.
- Special Report: [Sponsorship-Ad-6-Format3]
As the market settles into 2026, exchange-traded funds (ETFs) remain as popular an investment as ever. U.S. ETFs drew an incredible $1.48 trillion in total inflows in 2025 as hundreds of new products launched, further broadening the strategies available to investors through these vehicles.
Faced with uncertainty around geopolitics, trade shifts and even a potential AI bubble, many investors may increasingly turn to ETFs for their defensive potential. At the same time, several funds have started 2026 with exceptional momentum and may appeal to investors with a higher risk tolerance looking for early-year gains.
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One such fund is the Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF (NYSEARCA: BWET), which sits near the top of the list of best-performing ETFs so far in 2026. BWET has returned nearly 100% year-to-date (YTD), contributing to an overall 223% gain over the past 12 months. Below, we take a closer look at what's likely driving this move, whether the biggest rally is still ahead, and what investors should consider before adding this high-momentum ETF to a portfolio.
A Closer Look at BWET's Strategy
BWET provides exposure to the crude-oil transport market through the Breakwave Tanker Futures Index, which tracks crude-oil tanker freight rates by investing in futures contracts. As one of the few ways for investors to access freight futures without trading futures directly, BWET delivers a different exposure than simply owning shares of oil-tanker companies.
The fund seeks gains when oil-freight futures rise beyond what is already priced in by the market.
Global oil shipping remains a critical component of the energy supply chain and revolves around major exporters — including the United States, Venezuela and Brazil — and large importers such as China and many European countries. Shipping rates reached a multi-year high late in 2025 as demand increased, and with cold winter temperatures persisting in many regions, demand may stay elevated in the near term.
BWET's strategy uses oil-freight futures contracts that mature one to six months forward, with a weighted-average expiration between 60 and 90 days. Most of the index tracks very large crude carriers (VLCCs), the tankers with the greatest capacity.
Evaluating BWET's Recent and Potential Performance
BWET's recent surge likely reflects both seasonal winter demand and shifts in global oil trade stemming from ongoing U.S. pressure on Venezuela and other geopolitical developments. While winter demand may persist through March, it typically eases afterward, suggesting the strongest seasonal boost could be behind us.
That said, lingering geopolitical tensions could continue to affect the global oil market. The precise impact on freight futures is harder to predict, but investors who expect further disruption and elevated freight rates may see scope for BWET to keep rallying.
Other Factors to Consider
Despite its strong performance, BWET carries several risks investors should weigh. Investing in futures contracts—even indirectly through an ETF—is more complex and can be riskier than traditional equity exposure. BWET also targets a niche market: it has only about $8.5 million in assets under management and a low average trading volume, which can add unexpected trading costs or liquidity challenges for active traders.
Another important drawback is the fund's high expense ratio of 3.5%. The sponsor had offered to limit the fee to 3.5% through the end of 2025 and warned that expenses could rise after that period. That cost profile may restrict BWET's appeal to only the most committed investors, although others seeking exposure to the oil market may find suitable alternatives elsewhere.
In short, BWET can offer substantial upside when freight rates spike, but it also carries elevated complexity, concentration and cost. Investors should weigh those trade-offs and consider position sizing and time horizon before adding BWET to a portfolio.
From Missteps to Momentum: Jack in the Box's Comeback Plan
Author: Thomas Hughes. First Published: 2/21/2026.
Key Points
- Jack in the Box is working through execution and balance-sheet challenges, while McDonald’s highlights what strong operational discipline can deliver.
- Despite weak first-quarter results, analyst targets and ratings suggest continued confidence in a recovery over time.
- Technical support, heavy institutional ownership, and elevated short interest could amplify any upside catalyst.
- Special Report: [Sponsorship-Ad-6-Format3]
Comparing Jack in the Box (NASDAQ: JACK) with McDonald's (NYSE: MCD) may sound like comparing apples to oranges, but there is a connection. Where McDonald's operates efficiently, leans into digital, and takes market share, Jack in the Box has suffered a series of executive missteps that culminated in lost market share, reduced shareholder value, increased debt, and suspended capital returns.
The connection: Jack in the Box's problems can be corrected. It won't displace McDonald's as the world's largest restaurant operator, but it can take cues from that competitor, reclaim lost ground and reinvigorate shareholder value. Last year's CEO change is the first of several steps that could return this consumer stock to higher—if not peak—levels over time.
Analysts Remain Optimistic for a JACK Turnaround
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Despite weak fiscal Q1 2026 results, the analyst reaction shows confidence in the turnaround efforts. (Note: Jack in the Box's fiscal reporting period does not align with the calendar year.) Sales fell more than expected, partly due to store closures intended to rationalize and optimize the franchise footprint. Still, analysts remain optimistic. The first rating revision tracked by MarketBeat reaffirms a Hold-equivalent rating while raising the price target to $23.
The $23 target sits below the consensus $26 but signals an outlook for share price recovery and potential double-digit gains when that recovery occurs. As it stands, 21 analysts rate the stock a Hold (with a 67% conviction rate), and their targets imply more than 40% upside above the critical support level.
The critical support level in February 2026 is the long-term low set during the height of the COVID-19 market panic. That low represents a likely turning point for the stock.
Price action in 2025 suggests a bottom may be forming that could evolve into a reversal if upcoming releases show operational improvement. After the release, the stock fell about 15%—a sharp drop but not yet a definitive red flag. The movement broadly matches a Head & Shoulders bottom pattern.
In this scenario, the stock may dip in the coming sessions before finding its lows. If it breaks below the support target, the decline could deepen—potentially pushing JACK shares to multi-decade lows or into the single-digit range. However, technical indicators and institutional activity suggest the $16.80 level should hold as a firm floor.
Institutions Set Floor: Short-Sellers Provide Potential for Rapid Share Price Increase
Institutional ownership indicates strong confidence in the brand and its cash-producing ability. Although selling increased in Q4 2025 and Q1 2026, buying rose faster, producing net accumulation and a solid support base, with institutions owning a very large portion of the shares. The big question now is what happens next; the answer could be a short squeeze or at least a short-covering rally.
Near-term headwinds remain, but store closures, quality improvements and debt reduction position the business for a healthier recovery, including a return to growth and resumed capital returns. With short interest running above 26% and roughly 13 days to cover, a short-covering catalyst could be potent. If a squeeze takes hold, a move to the consensus $26 target would likely be a logical near-term stop, with technical targets and high short interest suggesting the market could advance into the $30–$40 range, or potentially higher.
Jack in the Box Amid Transformation: Catalysts Ahead
Catalysts for Jack in the Box include debt repayments, which will free up cash flow; asset monetization, which will lighten the balance sheet; portfolio rationalization to optimize the footprint; and clearer capital-allocation plans. Capital returns were suspended to pay down debt, but the paydown is on track, suggesting dividends and/or share repurchases could resume sometime in 2027.
Assuming a payment of even half of the last recorded dividend would deliver a yield greater than 1%. Highlights at the end of Q1 show the share count marginally higher while cash rose roughly 57%, a balance that should allow accelerated debt reduction.
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