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Exclusive Story 3 Key Ways D-Wave Is Developing an Advantage in Quantum ComputingReported by Nathan Reiff. Date Posted: 1/20/2026. 
At a Glance - D-Wave's 358% trailing-12-month return might scare some investors worried that the company is overhyped, but a number of key developments could continue to position it favorably.
- The company's recent achievement of an important technological milestone with the first scalable on-chip cryogenic control of qubits gives it a key advantage in the push toward commercialization.
- D-Wave's acquisition of Quantum Circuits will also cement its status as a dual provider of both annealing and gate-model tech, at a time when rivals like Rigetti have suffered setbacks.
D-Wave Quantum Inc. (NYSE: QBTS), the $10-billion quantum computing company whose share price has jumped more than 358% over the past 12 months, is working to position itself as the go-to quantum firm in a crowded field that includes competitors such as IonQ Inc. (NYSE: IONQ) and Rigetti Computing (NASDAQ: RGTI). All of these companies face the challenge of proving quantum technology's usefulness for practical, real-world applications. Still, three recent developments—two clear gains for D-Wave and one setback for Rigetti—could position QBTS as a top contender this year. D-Wave Has Entered the Gate-Model Arena The former CEO of Google calls it the most important thing to happen in 500, maybe 1,000 years of human society. A former U.S. Treasury Secretary says when your great-grandchildren write the history of this period, the political headlines will be the second or third story. The first story is something none of us have seen before. The dot-com collapse, global financial crisis, and COVID-19 pandemic don't compare to what's coming next. We may be entering a period of dramatic, almost unimaginable change. See the full warning and how to prepare now. A common critique of D-Wave has been its focus on quantum annealing, which is well suited to certain optimization problems but has been viewed by some analysts as less versatile than gate-model quantum computing. D-Wave is addressing that perception with a move into gate-model research and development. At the start of the year, the company announced it had achieved the first scalable on-chip cryogenic control of qubits. That capability makes D-Wave a meaningful competitor in gate-model technology and could improve marketability by reducing the need for extensive wiring and cryogenic infrastructure that otherwise makes scaling quantum chips costly and complex. With this advancement, D-Wave is positioning itself to compete across two different quantum approaches simultaneously—a capability many pure-play rivals have not matched. Putting the Cash Reserves to Good Use Having amassed well over $800 million in cash by late 2025, D-Wave began 2026 with a major acquisition announcement. The $550-million purchase of Quantum Circuits Inc., expected to close in January 2026, accelerates D-Wave's path toward large-scale, error-corrected gate-model systems and strengthens its position in gate-model quantum tech. Management expects the acquisition to help bring gate-model products and services to market in 2026. Although details are still limited, the move clearly aims to broaden D-Wave's product lineup and customer base. That expansion could materially boost revenue—which in the most recent quarter was just $3.7 million—and help move the company toward consistent profitability. Rigetti's Delay Could Mean a New Opportunity for D-Wave An external development that may benefit D-Wave came in early January, when Rigetti said it would delay the general availability date for its Cepheus-1-108Q 108-qubit system. To reach its target of 99.5% median two-qubit gate fidelity, Rigetti pushed the launch to the end of the first quarter of 2026. By itself, schedule adjustments are common when companies refine complex hardware. But Rigetti's delay, coinciding with D-Wave's recent progress and following an approximate 18% year-over-year sales decline for Rigetti in the most recent quarter, could shift investor sentiment toward D-Wave. Rigetti remains a significant competitor and a frequent analyst favorite. Still, short interest in RGTI climbed 9.4% in the last month while D-Wave's short interest fell by 2.4%. That mix of developments may create an opening for D-Wave to separate itself from peers. Analysts rate D-Wave as a Moderate Buy, based on 14 Buys out of 16 total ratings. Investors should note, however, that the company remains speculative: D-Wave carries a very large valuation relative to its sales, yielding a price-to-sales ratio of more than 1,143, even as some analysts see potential for another roughly 16.8% upside.
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