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Featured News from MarketBeat Media The Last Time Qualcomm's RSI Did This, the Stock Rallied 70%Submitted by Sam Quirke. Article Posted: 1/27/2026. 
In Brief - Qualcomm has just exited extremely oversold territory, a technical setup that previously marked the start of a major recovery rally.
- The signal is appearing just ahead of earnings, when expectations are about as low as they can be.
- With much of the downside already priced in, the risk-reward balance is tilting toward the bulls.
Shares of tech giant Qualcomm Inc. (NASDAQ: QCOM) are trading around $155 after a rough two weeks. After a solid start to the year, the stock has dropped roughly 15% amid relentless selling as investors worry Qualcomm may have missed the AI transformation—especially in key enterprise use cases. That pessimism shows up clearly on the stock's chart. Last week Qualcomm's relative strength index (RSI) fell below 30, officially entering "extremely oversold" territory. More notable, though, is the quick rebound above the 30 level — a pattern that can signal the worst of the selling is over and buyers are returning. What makes this setup especially interesting is what the stock did the last time that happened. Why Qualcomm's RSI Signal Matters Right Now The former CEO of Google calls it the most important thing to happen in 500, maybe 1,000 years of human society. A former U.S. Treasury Secretary says when your great-grandchildren write the history of this period, the political headlines will be the second or third story. The first story is something none of us have seen before. The dot-com collapse, global financial crisis, and COVID-19 pandemic don't compare to what's coming next. We may be entering a period of dramatic, almost unimaginable change. See the full warning and how to prepare now. The RSI is a widely used technical indicator that provides a quick snapshot of a stock's recent momentum and whether it might be overbought or oversold. Equally important as how far the RSI falls is how quickly it recovers, because the speed of the bounce tells you a lot about how the market is processing the move. The last time Qualcomm's RSI fell below 30 was in April of last year, and in less than a week it was already back out of the danger zone. That's the same setup we're seeing now, and it's worth considering what that could mean for the stock from here. History Rhymes: Qualcomm's RSI Bounce Previously Fueled a Rally That quick recovery from extremely oversold levels in April preceded the start of what became roughly a 70% rally in Qualcomm shares. It marked an inflection point where bearish momentum gave way to sustained accumulation, and we could be seeing a similar transition now. Qualcomm has again been aggressively sold as sentiment turned negative, but the fact that RSI has already popped back above 30 suggests the market may have absorbed the bulk of the selling. This reversal is unfolding just days ahead of earnings, which makes the setup more compelling if you believe the sell-off has been overdone. Even After the Downgrade, Qualcomm Still Shows Upside to $175 Much of Qualcomm's underperformance versus its peers over the past year and in recent weeks reflects concerns that it has been left behind in the AI arms race. While the likes of NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ: NVDA) appear to have captured much of the early market share, Qualcomm's progress in AI has been quieter and more fragmented. That view may be too narrow. Qualcomm has been advancing in personal AI across IoT, edge computing, and robotics. These areas are less flashy than large-scale cloud AI, but they are meaningful, scalable, and aligned with Qualcomm's core strengths. The current sell-off could be discounting those opportunities too heavily. A recent downgrade from Mizuho to a Neutral rating hasn't helped sentiment. Still, with Qualcomm trading near $155, its refreshed price target of $175 implies meaningful upside. Earnings Could Be the Catalyst That Turns Qualcomm Higher Technically, Qualcomm is showing early signs of stabilization. The stock recently bounced off support around $154, a level that previously marked the point where selling pressure eased in October. Taken together, there's a case that the pieces are starting to line up: sentiment at rock bottom, a fresh technical signal that historically preceded a big recovery, and a catalyst in the form of earnings. History doesn't always repeat, but it can rhyme — and Qualcomm's downside appears more limited today than it was two weeks ago. If the company can reassure investors that its longer-term growth story remains intact next week, the post-earnings reaction could skew higher. After a punishing start to the year, this is a setup where restoring confidence may matter more than continuing to panic.
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