"Interest rates are to asset prices what gravity is to the apple." ✍️🍎 - Warren Buffett |
✅ Major U.S. stock indexes finished mixed on Friday as investors focused on next week’s Federal Reserve interest-rate decision. ✅ Alliance Laundry sees revenue jump ahead of NYSE IPO. ✅ Vaccine stocks slide after report of pending CDC briefing on child deaths. ✅ Tesla clears Nevada testing permit, moving closer to nationwide robotaxi rollout. ✅ Adobe raises 2025 revenue and profit guidance on strong AI and design software demand. ✅ Tether unveils USAT, a U.S.-focused stablecoin, marking major expansion. |
↘ Dow 45,834.22 - 0.59% ↗ Nasdaq 22,141.10 + 0.44% ↘ S&P 6,584.29 - 0.05% |
Alliance Laundry Sees Revenue Jump Ahead of NYSE IPO |
Image courtesy of Alliance Laundry |
Alliance Laundry Systems reported a nearly 15% rise in first-half 2025 revenue as it filed for a U.S. initial public offering on Friday. The 117-year-old maker of commercial washers and dryers plans to list on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker “ALH.” The IPO marks a strategic shift for owner BDT & MSD Partners, which last year explored a sale that could have valued Alliance at about $5 billion including debt. Alliance said it still faces cost pressures from tariffs and volatile steel and aluminum prices. Revenue climbed to $836.8 million for the six months ended June 30 from $729 million a year earlier, though net income fell to $48.3 million from $67.6 million. BofA Securities and J.P. Morgan are leading the offering. |
Vaccine Stocks Slide After Report of Pending CDC Briefing on Child Deaths Linked to Covid Shots |
Image courtesy of FDA.gov |
Shares of major Covid-19 vaccine makers tumbled Friday after a Washington Post report said U.S. health officials plan to present data next week to Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) advisers suggesting a possible link between Covid vaccines and the deaths of roughly two dozen children. According to the report, the upcoming CDC briefing will draw on entries from the Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS) and focus on vaccines made by Pfizer Inc., Moderna Inc. and BioNTech SE. Moderna’s stock fell as much as 8.7%, Pfizer slid around 3.6%, and BioNTech’s U.S.-traded shares plunged up to 14% in New York trading. The article arrives amid intensifying political scrutiny of Covid vaccines under Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who has clashed with former CDC director Susan Monarez and questioned the safety of Trump-era vaccines—claims that run counter to extensive studies finding serious side effects are rare. Kennedy’s push for broader investigations has been echoed by allies in Congress, who have hosted hearings with families alleging vaccine injuries. Experts stressed that VAERS data alone cannot establish a causal relationship between vaccination and reported outcomes. The CDC notes that the system collects unverified reports from patients, providers and caregivers, some of which involve coincidental health events or duplicates. The database logged more than 11,000 death reports in 2021, many mentioning Covid vaccines but without confirmation that the shots caused those deaths. FDA Commissioner Marty Makary told CNN that the agency is conducting “a proper investigation” into reports of child deaths and expects to release findings in the coming weeks. Both the FDA and CDC routinely review VAERS and other surveillance data through public meetings of the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP). An HHS spokesperson emphasized that such reviews are part of standard safety procedures. Vaccine makers defended their products. Moderna said its Covid vaccine Spikevax is “rigorously monitored” by regulators in more than 90 countries and that no new or undisclosed risks have been identified in children or pregnant women. It cited multiple studies showing a favorable risk–benefit profile, including a 2022 Lancet paper reporting no known deaths from heart inflammation in adolescents and young adults following mRNA vaccination. Pfizer and BioNTech did not immediately comment. The controversy comes as U.S. Covid hospitalization rates rise, with the CDC reporting over 15,000 deaths in 2025 through early September. |
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Tesla Clears Nevada Testing Permit, Moves Closer to Nationwide Robotaxi Rollout |
Image courtesy of Tim Goessman/Bloomberg via Getty Images |
Tesla received a testing permit from the Nevada DMV, allowing the company to evaluate its self-driving technology on public roads in the state. The approval follows CEO Elon Musk’s plan to expand the robotaxi program beyond Austin, Texas, into multiple U.S. markets. Tesla began offering rides in driverless Model Y SUVs in Austin earlier this summer, initially with a front-seat employee. Nevada’s permit process is relatively straightforward, requiring a Testing Registry application, insurance coverage of $5 million, and incident reporting. While the approval allows on-road testing, Tesla must still complete additional regulatory steps before launching a full commercial robotaxi service. The Nevada permit marks a key milestone in Tesla’s push to scale autonomous ride-hailing nationwide, with Musk aiming to reach roughly half the U.S. population by the end of the year, subject to regulatory approvals. |
Adobe Lifts 2025 Revenue and Profit Guidance on Strong Demand for Design Software and AI Tools |
Image courtesy of stansberryresearch.com |
Adobe raised its fiscal 2025 revenue and profit forecasts Thursday, driven by robust adoption of its design software suite and growing monetization of its AI offerings. Shares climbed roughly 3% in after-hours trading following the announcement. The company, known for Photoshop, Illustrator, InDesign, and Acrobat, continues to attract new users and subscribers. Adobe’s AI platform, Firefly, enables creators to generate images and videos from text prompts, integrating them directly into designs. While the tool represents a major AI investment, analysts remain cautious about near-term adoption and returns. Adobe now expects fiscal 2025 revenue of $23.65–$23.70 billion, up from prior guidance of $23.50–$23.60 billion, and adjusted EPS of $20.80–$20.85. For Q4, revenue is forecast at $6.08–$6.13 billion, in line with analyst expectations, with adjusted EPS of $5.35–$5.40, slightly above consensus. The company reported $5.99 billion in Q3 revenue, exceeding estimates and highlighting continued strength in its design software business. |
Tether Unveils ‘USAT,’ a U.S.-Focused Stablecoin, in Biggest Expansion Yet |
Image courtesy of corporatefinanceinstitute.com |
Tether, issuer of the world’s largest stablecoin, will launch a new dollar-pegged token for American users by year-end. CEO Paolo Ardoino called the U.S.-based coin, named USAT, a pivotal step in the company’s growth strategy. Bo Hines, a former White House official and recent Tether adviser, will run the venture as CEO. “Tether is here to participate in the U.S. economy in a huge way,” he said at a New York press conference. The move marks Tether’s most direct push onto U.S. soil as federal rules for stablecoins take effect under President Trump’s GENIUS Act. USAT will be issued by Anchorage Digital Bank and custodied by Cantor Fitzgerald, with operations based in Charlotte, N.C. Tether’s flagship token USDT already boasts a $169 billion market cap and is a major buyer of U.S. Treasuries. By splitting its flagship product abroad and introducing a domestic coin, the company aims to stay ahead of regulators and rivals like Circle’s USDC. “We believe the U.S. market offers enormous potential,” Ardoino said. |
📉 ON THE MOVE AND NOTABLES 📈 |
✔️ Following September’s strong rally, U.S. Treasuries showed some weakness Friday. The 10-year Treasury yield climbed 4 basis points to 4.06%, near the lower end of its 2025 range. ✔️ The dollar was modestly stronger against a trade-weighted basket of currencies. ✔️ WTI crude rose amid concerns that Ukrainian drone strikes could disrupt Russian oil supplies. Gains were also supported after President Trump urged G7 allies to raise tariffs on China and India to discourage Russian oil purchases. Brent crude settled at $66.99 per barrel (+0.93%), WTI at $62.69 (+0.51%). ✔️ Gold held near record highs on Friday as signs of a weakening U.S. labor market reinforced expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut next week. Spot gold rose 0.4% to $3,648.55 per ounce, near Tuesday’s all-time high of $3,673.95. The metal is up 1.7% for the week and poised for a fourth consecutive weekly gain. ✔️ University of Michigan’s preliminary September survey showed U.S. consumer sentiment falling to its weakest level since May. Households reported rising concerns over inflation and the labor market. Long-term inflation expectations rose to 3.9% from 3.5% in August. Fears of job losses increased, reflecting sluggish hiring and early signs of layoffs. ✔️ As of Friday morning, CME FedWatch Tool shows a 93% chance of a 25-basis point cut. Odds of a 50-basis point cut were 7%. ✔️ Gemini Space Station (GEMI) debuted on Nasdaq at $37.01, 32% above its IPO price of $28 per share. ✔️ Cryptocurrencies also gained Friday: Bitcoin +<1%, Ethereum +3.6%, Solana +5.4%, XRP and BNB +1.5%+. ✔️ Figma (FIG) priced at $33 on July 31, closed ts first day at $115.50, a 250% increase above the IPO price. ✔️ Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) soared, fueled by reports of a possible Paramount Skydance cash takeover. Paramount Skydance (PSKY) also gained on takeover news. ✔️ Tesla (TSLA) went higher, supported by Fed rate cut expectations and Optimus robot/Megablock energy projects. ✔️ Micron Technology (MU) dropped to an all-time closing high, boosted by strong DRAM demand and AI exposure. ✔️ Arista Networks (ANET) dropped after long-term operating margin forecast fell below fiscal 2025 levels. ✔️ Moderna (MRNA) and Pfizer (PFE) went lower. Vaccine makers fell after reports linking 25 child deaths to COVID vaccines. ✔️ Oracle (ORCL) sank after analysts cautioned that AI-driven growth remains concentrated among a few large clients. ✔️ Black Rock Coffee Bar (BRCB) debuted at $26.50 on Nasdaq, above $20 IPO price. ✔️ Boeing (BA) saw a weekly decline of 5.5%, after FAA announced a $3.1M fine for safety violations on newest widebody jet. ✔️ Alliance Laundry Systems, one of North America’s largest commercial laundry equipment makers, disclosed on Friday that its revenue surged nearly 15% in the first half of 2025 as it formally filed for a U.S. initial public offering. ✔️ The once high-flying zero-emission truck developer Nikola Corporation has reached an $83 million settlement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission as part of its ongoing bankruptcy and liquidation proceedings, according to court filings made public Friday. |
💲What to Watch Next Week 💲 |
Expectations for the Federal Reserve's September 2025 meeting on Wednesday, largely center on an interest rate cut, with economic data, particularly on inflation and employment, being key factors influencing the decision. 🟢 Economic: Monday (Sep. 15): Empire State Manufacturing Tuesday (Sep. 16): Business Inventories, Capacity Utilization, Export Prices, Import Prices, Industrial Production, NAHB Housing Market Index, Retail Sales Wednesday (Sep. 17): Building Permits, EIA Crude Oil Inventories, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Rate Decision, Housing Starts, MBA Mortgage Applications Index Thursday (Sep. 18): Continuing Claims, EIA Natural Gas Inventories, Initial Claims, Leading Indicators, Net Long-Term TIC Flows, Philadelphia Fed Index Friday (Sep. 19): no reports 🟢 Earnings: Monday (Sep. 15): Dave & Buster's Entertainment Inc. (PLAY), Hain Celestial Group Inc. (HAIN), Immersion Corp. (IMMR), Ispire Technology Inc. (ISPR), Radiant Logistics Inc. (RLGT) Tuesday (Sep. 16): Barnes & Noble Education Inc. (BNED), Brand House Collective Inc. (TBHC), Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (FERG), Nutex Health Inc. (NUTX), Spire Global Inc. (SPIR) Wednesday Sep. 17): Bullish Inc. (BLSH), General Mills (GIS) Thursday (Sep. 18): Cracker Barrel Old Country Stores Inc. (CBRL), Darden Restaurants Inc. (DRI), FactSet Research Systems Inc. (FDS), FedEx Corp. (FDX), Lennar Corp. (LEN), Rezolute, Inc. (RZLT), Scholastic Corp. (SCHL) Friday (Sep. 19): MoneyHero Ltd. (MNY) |
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