MAGA Has Always Been at Peace with East AsiaTrump influencers who declared total war against China a month ago are just as pleased to see Trump back off now.
The Harris vs. Biden knives are coming out for real this week. The Guardian published some excerpts from Alex Thompson and Jake Tapper's forthcoming book Original Sin: President Biden’s Decline, Its Cover-up, and His Disastrous Choice to Run Again last night. Former Obama and Harris adviser David Plouffe doesn't hold back, telling the authors that Harris’s 107-day campaign was “a fucking nightmare” thanks to Joe Biden’s way-too-late decision to drop out. “He totally fucked us.” Happy Tuesday.
Just Kidding About All Thatby Andrew Egger Having been dead against the whole pointless trade war with China from the beginning, your Morning Shots correspondents were pleased and relieved to learn this week that the White House had suddenly decided to largely lay down arms. No more pointless economic devastation! No more annihilation of U.S. small businesses! No more idling ports and empty shelves! The news wasn’t great—a 30 percent tariff is still a heavy barrier, one that will cause no end of needless economic friction—but it isn’t as calamitous as before. After a full month of the U.S. government beating the U.S. economy with a stick, it sure feels good to have them stop. So that’s why we liked it. Why’d all these MAGA guys like it? After all, the White House and its MAGA cheerleaders spent early April proclaiming that the time had come at last for a major economic showdown with China. On April 10, after Trump suddenly dropped his “Liberation Day” tariffs on most of the world while cranking them to near-embargo levels on Beijing, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent insisted that isolating China had been the plan from the beginning: “This was [Trump’s] strategy all along. You might even say that he goaded China into a bad position,” he told reporters. “They have shown themselves to the world to be the bad actors.” Days later, the Wall Street Journal reported that a keystone of the White House’s trade strategy was “to extract commitments from U.S. trading partners to isolate China’s economy in exchange for reductions in trade and tariff barriers imposed by the White House.” At the time, MAGA influencers ate all this up with a spoon. On April 9, former Shark Tank star Kevin O’Leary took to CNN to wave a bloody shirt in support of an all-out trade war to “squeeze Chinese heads into the wall.” “Nobody has taken on China yet, not the Europeans, no administration for decades,” he said. “Finally, an administration—you may not like Trump, you may not like his style or rhetoric—finally an administration that puts up and says, enough.” The soundbite went mega-viral on the right. “This is the hardest shit I’ve heard in the 10 years of MAGA,” influencer and failed congressional candidate Andrew McCarthy tweeted. Donald Trump Jr. shared it with three “100” emojis. So did the account Libs of TikTok. Charlie Kirk played the clip at the top of his radio show. The calls to battle stations went on across the MAGArati. “China is the testing ground for the World Economic Forum’s vision of a future totalitarian state,” posted Benny Johnson. “China must fail—Trump knows this. This is more than just a trade war.” “I’m really excited that we are rallying Americans to be anti-China,” wrote Laura Loomer. “It’s about time that we wake people up to the fact that the CCP is our enemy.” This week’s announcement brought all that to a screeching halt. As both sides agreed to pull back tariff barriers, Trump hailed the thaw as “a total reset . . . in a friendly, but constructive manner.” All that stuff about wielding U.S. economic power to isolate China on the world stage? Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick waved it off this weekend as “fake news.” “I mean, we are focused on Americans, right? . . . We are not under any circumstances focused on China when we’re talking to other countries,” he said, adding that now the objective was simply “to de-escalate.” What commitments had the Evil Empire to the east made to get America to call off the dogs? None whatsoever. “Apart from the tariff rollback, neither side announced any broader concessions on the substantive trade issues that weigh on the U.S.-China relationship,” the Wall Street Journal editorial board wrote yesterday. And whither the influencers? Surely the voices that were so overjoyed a month ago to see the U.S. throw hands against China at long, long last were equally dismayed to see Trump back off, right? Kidding, obviously! Benny Johnson, Charlie Kirk, and the rest had no words of sorrow to share about the zigzag yesterday. Libs of TikTok praised the China news as “EXACTLY WHAT I VOTED FOR.” “Markets ROAR After China Bows to Trump,” Johnson enthused. The rules of the MAGA media ecosystem are simple: The enemy is whoever Trump says it is on a given day, for whatever reasons Trump sees fit to suggest. The hero is always Trump, whose intuition is the stuff of legend and whose every move, however contradictory to what he’s done and said before, is an act of genius. The Act of Tyrants. The Stuff of Nightmares.by William Kristol In a furious video posted last night, Tim Miller characterized the Trump administration’s immigration policy succinctly: “Absolutely depraved.” Tim was struck by Trump’s Deputy Secretary of State Christopher Landau going to Dulles airport in Northern Virginia yesterday to personally greet 59 Afrikaners arriving under an exception to President Trump’s ban on accepting refugees fleeing persecution. “I want you all to know that you are really welcome here,” said Landau to the Afrikaners, who were flown here on a flight chartered by the State Department. Around the same time yesterday, Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem was telling thousands of Afghans living lawfully in the United States that they’re no longer welcome here. These Afghans, fearing persecution by the Taliban, had applied to come to the United States and had been carefully vetted by U.S. authorities before being admitted. But Noem is confident they’re not at risk if they’re now sent back: “Afghanistan has had an improved security situation, and its stabilizing economy no longer prevents them from returning to their home country.” And so the Trump administration will end their temporary protected status with the intention of deporting them. The nonprofit group #AfghanEvac, which helps Afghan families resettle here, called the move “unconscionable” adding: “What the administration has done today is betray people who risked their lives for America, built lives here, and believed in our promises.” Meanwhile, the Trump Justice Department is in court urgently seeking to overturn a judge’s order blocking the administration’s move to end temporary protected status for over 500,000 Venezuelans legally in the United States. These Venezuelans are contributing to society and they have a lower crime rate than native Americans—but that means nothing to the Trump administration. They prefer the exciting prospect of mass deportation. Also yesterday, from Dalton, Georgia, we got an update on the case of Ximena Arias Cristobal, whom I wrote about last week. Local authorities announced they were dismissing the traffic charges against the Mexican-born college student after the Dalton Police Department and the city’s prosecutor reviewed dashboard camera footage of the traffic stop and determined that the officer had stopped the wrong vehicle. But Ximena, who’s lived here since she was 4 years old, nonetheless remains detained at the ICE detention facility in Lumpkin, Georgia, and still faces deportation. You’ve got to give the Trump administration credit: When they have a chance to deport a college student from a family who’s been here for 14 years, paid taxes, and obeyed the law—they take it. The Biden administration, much maligned for its immigration record, wanted ICE to focus on arrests of serious criminals, national security threats, and the most recent illegal arrivals in the U.S. But now, thanks to guidance from the Trump administration, ICE is racing to deport people who’ve lived and worked peacefully in this country for many years and have no criminal histories. In short: The Trump administration is deporting innocent people who’ve been living here since they were 4 years old. The Trump administration is seeking to deport Afghans who fought with us and came here legally. The Trump administration is expelling Venezuelans who fled communism who came here legally. And the Trump administration has shut the gates to all refugees seeking to come here—except for some white Afrikaners, who are flown here on a State Department plane. It’s idiotic. It’s wrong. It’s un-American. And yes, it’s depraved. AROUND THE BULWARK
Quick HitsFUN WITH MONEY: As Donald Trump’s “big, beautiful bill” to fund the government takes shape, the president is telling fiscal hawks who oppose a package that worsens federal deficits to maybe just chill. “This week, the Republicans are meeting in the Tax, Energy, and Agriculture Committees on major pieces of ‘THE ONE, BIG, BEAUTIFUL BILL,’” Trump said yesterday. “Now, with the tremendous Drug and Pharmaceutical Cuts, plus massive incoming Tariff Money, our ‘GREAT, BIG, BEAUTIFUL BILL’ just got much BIGGER AND BETTER.” Trump is reiterating a strategy he has been signaling for months. Deficit hawks have blanched at all the goodies Trump wants to pack into his bill, which would renew the tax cuts from the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act and introduce a host of new distortionary tax cuts like exempting tips and overtime pay from taxation. Why demand all that be offset with real spending cuts, Trump argues, when you could just fudge the numbers by suggesting it’ll be paid for by tariffs? The idea is sheer monopoly-money budgetary malpractice. Trump can’t seem to find a tariff rate he’s willing to keep steady for more than a few weeks at a time—how could anyone plausibly game out how much revenue his various trade wars will bring, let alone build out a tax policy apparatus that relies on such assumptions? But the goal isn’t to get to a deficit-neutral bill: It’s to create a sense of plausible deniability around the bill’s actual fiscal effects to sap the hawks’ will to fight. Will it work? Probably! SAYONARA, HONDA: In the wake of “Liberation Day,” Japan was among the first countries to rush to Washington to try to hash out one of the trade deals the White House insisted were ripe for the taking. But no deal has materialized, and the New York Times reports that the damage is piling up in Japan’s auto sector:
MORE PAIN IN ACADEMIA: In yesterday’s Morning Shots we noted that the real damage being done to academia was the massive amounts of federal funds that were being yanked from their research budgets. We spotlighted an internal Florida State University email as evidence of how scrambled even the big public universities were. Well, yesterday, a tipster sent us another internal note, this one from the University of Arizona. The email, from the university’s research, impact, and innovation department, noted that as of May 2, 67 awards totaling more than $60.3 million had either been terminated or placed under a stop order. The grant money for those awards had come from a wide swath of agences: the National Science Foundation, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the National Endowment for the Humanities, the Institute of Museum and Library Services, USAID, the Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration, the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Disease, the National Institutes of Health, the National Cancer Institute, and more. The source who passed along the email noted that these numbers have likely increased in the days since it was issued. The larger picture remains the same, however: Major incubators of research and academic studies are seeing a huge spigot of funding just dry up. And other countries seem to have noticed. Here’s a very newsy item from last week that seems to have evaded national attention:
By the way: Are you privy to public universities having to make major research cuts? Do you have internal documents to share? We have a secure tip line for you. Click HERE. —Sam Stein Cheap Shots
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