The COVID-19 pandemic devastated the entire health care system... I'm sure you remember some of the stories. And we all saw plenty of pictures like this one of exhausted medical workers...
Editor's note: Today in the Chaikin PowerFeed, we're doing something a little different...
We're sharing a slice of the story behind Marc Chaikin's latest recommendation for his Power Gauge Investor subscribers. It's a "peek behind the curtain" for the research involved.
As you'll see, Marc explains a huge problem facing one of America's key industries – health care...
America Needs More Nurses
By Marc Chaikin, founder, Chaikin Analytics
The COVID-19 pandemic devastated the entire health care system...
I'm sure you remember some of the stories. And we all saw plenty of pictures like this one of exhausted medical workers...
The surge of COVID-19 patients created chaos throughout the industry. Hospitals, nursing homes, and other facilities ran out of space. They also struggled to find enough beds, respirators, and other critical equipment.
But the biggest stress was on health care workers – especially nurses.
They were on the front lines the entire time. They had to work extra shifts and cope with the lack of equipment.
Worst of all, they watched dozens – or even hundreds – of their patients die.
For many folks, the toll was too much to bear...
Roughly 100,000 registered nurses ("RNs") left the workforce during the pandemic.
Conditions have improved over the past couple of years. Hospitals did everything possible to stop nurses from quitting. They offered higher salaries, student-debt relief, and perks like child care.
According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics ("BLS"), the total nursing workforce grew by more than 100,000 in each of the past two years.
That's a great sign for the health care space. But it doesn't do much more than fix the damage done during the pandemic...
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For years, hospitals have struggled to find enough nurses.
For example, the National Institutes of Health estimated that there was a shortage of about 1 million nurses in America in 2020.
In other words, the pandemic exacerbated an existing nursing shortage.
And when you factor in our nation's aging population – and the thousands of nurses who will retire – we're still looking at a significant shortage ahead.
The table below shows the BLS's current projections for the entire nursing workforce. The top row includes specialized nurses with advanced degrees. The middle row is RNs – the biggest nursing segment. And the bottom row is made up of licensed practical nurses ("LPNs") and licensed vocational nurses ("LVNs").
The key column above is Annual Job Openings. As you can see, the BLS expects more than 280,000 openings each year across the nursing industry.
That's a huge number.
Now, the BLS doesn't speculate on the potential future shortage of nurses.
For that, we need to turn to another government agency – the Health Resources and Services Administration ("HRSA"). This agency keeps its own data and estimates.
Based on the HRSA's latest projections, the U.S. will face a shortage of more than 300,000 RNs in 2027. That's a 10% shortage.
The outlook is worse for LPNs. The HRSA expects we'll need more than 140,000 more of them by 2027. That's a roughly 20% shortage.
Of course, some states will be affected more than others...
According to Nurse.org, 42 U.S. states are projected to come up short of their nursing needs in 2030. Among the worst states for projected unmet demand are North Dakota, Colorado, Texas, Florida, and Nevada.
Consulting giant McKinsey sees a similar problem...
Following the pandemic, the company released its own report in 2022 on the state of the nursing industry. Its estimated shortage is roughly in line with the HRSA's numbers. As the report stated...
By 2025, we estimate the United States may have a gap of between 200,000 to 450,000 nurses available for direct patient care, equating to a 10 to 20 percent gap.
To meet this demand, the United States would need to more than double the number of new graduates entering and staying in the nursing workforce every year for the next three years straight.
No matter where you look, everyone agrees that America's nursing shortage will get worse over the coming years.
Good investing,
Marc Chaikin Editor's note: The full issue of this latest edition of Power Gauge Investor just published this past Thursday. And in it, Marc shared an opportunity with one of the few companies that can help solve America's nursing shortage. As he explains, its stock could soar 83% as its growth potential unfolds.
Learn how to gain instant access to this brand-new recommendation – along with the rest of the open recommendations in the Power Gauge Investor model portfolio – by clicking here.
Market View
Major Indexes and Notable Sectors
# Hld: Bullish Neutral Bearish
Dow 30
+1.39%
9
17
4
S&P 500
+1.56%
81
301
116
Nasdaq
+1.58%
20
60
20
Small Caps
+1.06%
292
1130
481
Bonds
+1.23%
Financial
+2.05%
29
42
2
— According to the Chaikin Power Bar, Small Cap stocks and Large Cap stocks remain somewhat Bearish. Major indexes are mixed.
* * * *
Sector Tracker
Sector movement over the last 5 days
Financial
+2.82%
Real Estate
+2.18%
Health Care
+1.71%
Industrials
+1.11%
Staples
+1.1%
Materials
+0.78%
Energy
+0.08%
Communication
-0.99%
Discretionary
-1.11%
Utilities
-1.31%
Information Technology
-3.98%
* * * *
Industry Focus
Aerospace & Defense Services
7
20
6
Over the past 6 months, the Aerospace & Defense subsector (XAR) has outperformed the S&P 500 by +2.02%. Its Power Bar ratio, which measures future potential, is Strong, with more Bullish than Bearish stocks. It is currently ranked #9 of 21 subsectors and has moved up 2 slots over the past week.
Top Stocks
TGI
Triumph Group, Inc.
ATRO
Astronics Corporatio
MRCY
Mercury Systems, Inc
* * * *
Top Movers
Gainers
AES
+11.66%
EIX
+6.04%
ERIE
+5.7%
TPL
+5.3%
MNST
+5.26%
Losers
NTAP
-15.57%
HPQ
-6.82%
ENPH
-6.31%
UHS
-5.81%
WBA
-4.9%
* * * *
Earnings Report
Earnings Surprises
AES The AES Corporation
Q4
$0.54
Beat by $0.19
AMRX Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Q4
$0.12
Missed by $-0.03
GTLS Chart Industries, Inc.
Q4
$2.66
Missed by $-0.49
* * * *
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